Changes between Version 115 and Version 116 of ticket/370/TicketDetails


Ignore:
Timestamp:
May 26, 2020 3:42:06 PM (18 months ago)
Author:
Jin Lee
Comment:

--

Legend:

Unmodified
Added
Removed
Modified
  • ticket/370/TicketDetails

    v115 v116  
    221221=== Comparison with similar experiments conducted by UKMO ===
    222222
    223 The conclusion from this first experiment - that the added observations do not produce better forecasts - is unexpected (and disappointing). To discount any possibility that this result is due to an error in the experimental set-up I asked Stuart Newman (SA, UKMO) to send comparable plots. He sent me 2 groups of trials results,
     223The conclusion from the first set of results - that the added satellite observations do not produce better forecasts - is unexpected (and disappointing). To eliminate the possibility that this result is due to an error in the experimental set-up I asked Stuart Newman (SA, UKMO) to send comparable plots. He sent me 2 groups of trials results,
    224224  * A series of denial experiments where different satellite observations were removed ([wiki:TicketDetails/UkmoDenialExptPS37])
    225     *
     225    * There is a consistent degradation of forecasts as different satellite observations were removed
     226    * Relative percentage changes in RMSE is greater than 0 %
     227    * When verifying truth was changed from observations to ECMWF analyses the results are very similar (Jin has plots for these)
    226228
    227229  * SAPHIR impact experiment ()